The archive
Every essay, briefing, and trade review. Filter by category below — or use search if you know what you're after.
A four-week melt-up into a softer Treasury bid sets up Wednesday's print as the only thing that matters. Levels, scenarios, and the trade I'm not taking.
Edge is the most over-used word in retail trading. Here is the working definition I use after fifteen years — and the four questions that separate a real edge from a story you tell yourself.
I took a swing short on NQ this week. It didn't work. Here's the entry logic, the invalidation, what I actually did when it failed, and why the process was still correct.